Cereal yield response to climate change in key grain producing areas of the Northern Hemisphere

ended

Vulnerability mapping is a field of increasing importance as we search for an ecologically and economically sustainable climate smart land use system, which is necessary for the development of green infrastructure and agricultuVulnerability mapping is a growing field with an increasing importance in developing an ecologically and economically sustainable climate smart land use system, which may serve the advancement of green infrastructure and agricultural production. The transformation of the climatic regime has an undeniable impact on plant production, but we rarely have long enough data series to scrutinise the unfolding effects of the microregional patterns of global climate-cereal yield relationship. To fill this gap, I will analyse three regions of the Northern Hemisphere under continental climate, which represent key landscapes concerning global food production and security, contributing a multi-way knowledge transfer through training, teaching and different form of communication activities. The relationship between climate indices, maize and wheat yields will be analysed applying high geographical resolution data from Northern China, Hungary and northern states of the US Midwest at a landscape scale by Köppen-Geiger zones using linear, local and spatial regression and bootstrap resampling tests and developed data visualisation techniques. This offers a unique opportunity to comparatively analyse the differences in climate-cereal yield associations by landscape types and regions. The expected results will provide highly supportive factors for planning and managing an ecologically and economically sustainable land use system. The intended publications, lectures and collaborative actions will have a positive impact on domestic and EU research. The planned training and the expected results of the action will further strengthen my career opportunities and put me in a position where I will be considered for a tenured position at a research institution in Hungary.