Land - use Model Development and Enhancement

2026-11-03

SCOPE OF WORK AND SUBMITTAL REQUIREMENTS 1 . Statement of Need PAG maintains a land use model as part of its integrated transportation and land use planning framework . The current model , AZ - SMART UrbanSim , provides parcel - level socioeconomic forecasts that serve as inputs to PAG ' s activity - based travel demand model . PAG recently completed a comprehensive evaluation of the UrbanSim / AZ - SMART land use model ( see Appendix E ), which included : • Assessment of the model ' s data architecture and analytical components • Evaluation of data compatibility with PAG ' s travel demand model • Interviews with peer MPOs regarding their land use modeling practices • Recommendations for model enhancement and development Building upon the evaluation findings and recommendations , PAG seeks to enhance and further develop its land use modeling capabilities . The enhanced model , based on the UrbanSim modeling platform will need to : • Support PAG ' s long - range transportation planning and scenario analysis needs • Maintain compatibility with PAG ' s activity - based travel demand model • Incorporate current and projected demographic and employment trends • Provide parcel - level or block - level resolution for land use forecasting • Support analysis of land use policies and development scenarios • Be maintainable by PAG staff with appropriate training and documentation 2 . Objectives The primary objectives of this project are to : 1 ) Develop and implement enhancements to PAG ' s land use model based on previous evaluation recommendations in Appendix E 2 ) Improve model calibration and validation to better reflect regional development patterns . 3 ) Enhance data integration and model workflows to support efficient scenario analysis 4 ) Update model inputs with current baseline data . 5 ) Develop comprehensive documentation and provide training to PAG staff 6 ) Ensure compatibility with PAG ' s travel demand modeling framework

Arizona

2026-03-27